Hi there

RIPE just depleted

That surprise me. I was expecting them to last half a week more. Did somebody submit a legitimate request for a /12 or did a lot of people realize they'd better hurry up and submit requests while there were still addresses to be had?

There where some large allocations to the middle east. Iran, if I remember correctly.

Our party has a (Dutch) facebook page;
http://www.facebook.com/events/197537177045752

/. has always been hostile towards IPv6. This applies both to the guy who runs it, and most of those who submit comments;
http://tech.slashdot.org/story/12/09/14/1426232/ripe-region-runs-out-of-ipv4-addresses
Their attitude is a complete mystery to me.


Regards,
Rob

Hi there


RIPE just depleted;
https://www.ripe.net/internet-coordination/news/ripe-ncc-begins-to-allocate-ipv4-address-space-from-the-last-8
Party!


Regards,
Rob

Hi there


More graphs;
http://www.ripe.net/lir-services/resource-management/tools-for-lirs/reponse-time-ipv4
At the current rate RIPE will be depleted at the 19th or so.
However, we want to announce our party at least a few days ahead, so it will probably be at the 28th.


Regards,
Rob

Hi there


According to some, RIPE's IPv4 depletion is going to occur during RIPE65;
https://ripe65.ripe.net/
There will be webcasts.


Regards,
Rob

Hi there


RIPE NCC has Approximately Four Million IPv4 Addresses Before Reaching Last /8;
http://www.ripe.net/ripe/mail/archives/ripe-list/2012-September/000615.html

This put them into phase 1;
http://www.ripe.net/internet-coordination/ipv4-exhaustion/last-8-phases

The graph is going to be updated daily;
http://www.ripe.net/internet-coordination/ipv4-exhaustion/ipv4-available-pool-graph

Geoff Huston has the current exhaustion date at October the 4th;
http://www.potaroo.net/tools/ipv4/index.html


Regards,
Rob

Hi there


It's the 5th now.
I stick to mid october.


Regards,
Rob

Hi there


The 30th is two weeks from now. So Geoff Huston, who is usually spot on, is wrong this time.
The average depletion rate over past 11 weeks varies a lot. However, the average since the beginning of this year hovers around mid October. The 13th or 14th.
So here it is. My personal prediction: Mid October.


Regards,
Rob

Hi there


I would have to write a bit of software to parse the page in order to see if it's actually more then 90%.
Anyway, Geoff increased the depletion date to the 30th. Probably not enough.


Regards,
Rob

Hi there


Apparently there is stuff in the RIPE database that shouldn't be there;
http://www.cidr-report.org/bogons/rir-data.html

Hoarding is also influenced by psychological factors.


Regards,
Rob

Hi there


He analysed the distribution rate and made a prediction based on how the distribution rate varies over time.
Hoarding will lead to an earlier date. The economic crisis leads to a later date.
The depletion date based on the last 11 weeks varies a lot. During the past six months anything from august to December. Currently it's  at the 14th of October.
With only .74 /8 (putting the mouse pointer on the graph will get you the /8 value) to go, a bit of hoarding might put Geoff Huston spot on.


Regards,
Rob

Hi there


Ripe will deplete soon [1] [2]. So that's an other IPv4 depletion party.
We will have one in a local bar [3].

[1] http://www.potaroo.net/tools/ipv4/index.html
[2] http://www.potaroo.net/tools/ipv4/plotend.png
[3] http://dranklokaaldeww.wordpress.com/


Regards,
Rob

Hi there


Do any of you attend or organise IPv4 depletion parties?
We had had central registry depletion party on the 28th of January. With free pizza and T-Shirts [1]. And our APNIC depletion party is Friday the 6th.
It will be RIPE next [2].

[1] http://dranklokaaldeww.wordpress.com/2011/01/21/28-1-sput%e2%80%99s-ipv4-depletion-borrel/
http://translate.google.com/translate?js=n&prev=_t&hl=en&ie=UTF-8&layout=2&eotf=1&sl=auto&tl=en&u=http%3A%2F%2Fdranklokaaldeww.wordpress.com%2F2011%2F01%2F21%2F28-1-sput%25e2%2580%2599s-ipv4-depletion-borrel%2F&act=url
[2] http://www.potaroo.net/ispcol/2011-02/rir.jpg


Regards,
Rob

Hi there


Maybe some of the information below is useful;
I just received my T-shirt. It's stamped 'FEB 22 2011'. So that's 11 days for delivery (to NL).
My zipcode is missing. I don't actually remember filling it out on the webform. Nor do I remember if the form had a zipcode field.
I do know that a missing zipcode will add a week to the delivery time.
The T-shirt's envelope is slightly larger then an A4 envelope and fits in a regular letterbox.


Regards,
Rob

Hi there


Reserve an IP address for your Perl script.
Make sure bind doesn't listen on this address. Have the script listen only to this address.
Create a subdomain and subnet for on the fly generated addresses and hostnames in bind. With NS records pointing to a hostname pointing to the script's IP address.


Regards,
Rob

Hi there


You are absolutely right.
I'm sorry about any confusion I may have caused.


Regards,
Rob